The emergence of the H7N9 bird flu virus has rekindled memories of our last flu pandemic – just as the United States is debating whether it can afford to prepare for the next one.
Remember the H1N1 flu scare of 2009? I always will, because pregnant women were vulnerable to becoming severely ill or dying from the H1N1 virus, and I was gestating our first kid that year. I felt like a sitting duck as scientists took six long months to develop a vaccine against it.
We weren’t totally defenseless, though. The H1N1 virus was treatable with antiviral drugs that the United States had stored in a national resource called the Strategic National Stockpile. Less than one month after the first U.S. H1N1 cases were detected, the stockpile had shipped 12 million courses of the drugs around the country.
But public health officials are now pondering whether the stockpile can afford to repeat that performance in an age of austerity. The stockpile is like the nation’s all-purpose emergency kit; it stores a huge array of supplies to deal with all kinds of disasters, from bioterror attacks to floods and earthquakes. But the stockpile’s budget will fall increasingly short of its projected costs beginning this year. Officials, who must make cuts, are trying to decide what emergency supplies the nation can live without, and there are no good choices.

I clipped this correction the day it appeared in the Times and pinned it to my cork bulletin board. This was a long time ago, so I can’t be sure what I was thinking. Most likely I found this assemblage of absurdly small numbers to be comical: the fastidious precision of science meeting its match in the finicky precision of the Paper of Record. What I do know for sure is that at the time I didn’t fully appreciate just how fastidious quantum mechanics is. 



